Friday, March 1, 2013

Trade Slows Around World



Trade Slows Around World
Declining Growth in Exports Dims Prospects for U.S. Economy; Europe Cuts Imports

The article that I chose this week discussed the recent decline in international trade and the possible effects that it could have to the US economy.  After the recession 2009 trade has been a spark within the American economy.  Over this period of time, exports have accounted for over half of the economic growth.  The WTO has projected that global trade will only expand by 2.5% this year.  That is down from 5%  in 2011 and 14% in 2010.  The root of the problem seems to be centered around Europe.  The European Union has previously been China’s largest export market.  Chinese exports to Europe have recently dropped by nearly 5%.  This decline has been detrimental to the Chinese manufacturing market and their economy as a whole.  There is a small amount of fear residing in economists because a decline in trade was the primary reason for the 2009 recession.  But unlike 2009 there are still several strengths among the global trading market.  One of the current strengths is Latin America.  Exports to Latin America have grown, absorbing some of losses brought by Europe.  Chinese exports to the United States are also up by 10%.  The US could be the largest export market for China for the first time since 2006.  Currently China is one of the largest economies in the world.  A decline in their economy could be very harmful to the global economy.  Europe’s recession is beginning to impact the global economy.  It is important for global economists to not let this issue snowball. If global trade continues to decline, we may witness a serious recession among the global economy.

2/1/2013 4:07 PM

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